[Crossroads*] |
It is probable that many countries will
experience meaningful inflation in the short-term future. For example, the US Labor Department
announced an increase in prices of 0.9% in October of 2021, this previous month.
For freelancers lacking both a CFO to analyze the risk as well as significant market strength, this
inflation poses a serious challenge, even danger, as it affects our ability to
make a living. As I see it, the self-employed have four options to cope with
the return of inflation if it occurs, each with its benefits and risks.
To clarify why inflation is likely to become a
significant factor in the short term, in simplistic terms, inflation is too
much money seeking too few goods. In the last three years, governments around
the world have pumped in unprecedented cash to their economies while their economies
were not growing or even shrinking at the same time. Therefore, neither
production nor productivity compensated for the inflow of money. Furthermore, given
the current high cost of living in many countries and high level of government
aid, many workers do not wish or cannot afford to return to their previous
jobs, minimum wage and higher, creating a labor shortage in many industries
and, consequently, pressure to increase wages. Adding the masses of people that
have chosen to leave salaried positions to start their one business, employers
will have to pay more to attract employees, a cost that will eventually be
passed on to consumers. Thus, prices are likely to increase until a balance is
reestablished.
Inaction is always an option. It is
emotionally easier both for the self-employed and their customers to ignore
inflation. Whether out of ignorance, the lack of belief that anything can be
done, as with exchange rates, or the conviction that the market will not bear
higher rates, passive freelancers hope that inflation will not be significant
enough to affect their standard of living. In the worst case, the relative attractiveness
of their rates will lead an increase in volume, compensating for the loss in
purchase power. The advantage is that it is possible to continue with “business
as usual” and ignore actual conditions. The risk is regular loss of potential income
and lower actual revenue
One active response to wait for official
inflation figures in order to justify rate increases to customers. In theory,
freelancers can inform their customers that their rates are increasing X% to
reflect the official figures for the previous six to twelve months. For the
freelancer, such an approach helps reinforce the courage required to raise
prices and should increase the chance that this request or notice is accepted
without protest. On the other hand, this strategy recognizes a write off of
indexing differences, the gap between the nominal and adjusted income.
Furthermore, as freelance rates are not automatically linked to any income,
there is a limit on the frequency that this unilateral increase can be made,
generally around once a year. While this reaction-based approach may be simple,
it also simply creates lost income due to its delayed effect even in the best
circumstances.
Of course, the self-employed can take a
proactive approach and inform their customers that as of a certain date, their
rates are increasing. For example, a translator can announce that as of January
1,2022, their rates will be .105 EUR per word instead of .10 EUR per word to
reflect increased prices and taxes. The advantage of the approach is that it
reduces the impact of inflation. The danger is that not all customers will
continue to provide work at the same level or at all. As a result,
entrepreneurs must invest time and effort in finding customers that will pay
their desired rates, a positive result in itself. Admittedly, there is no
certainty that the proposed increase will fully compensate for the actual
inflation but there is no certainty in business in any matter. While being
proactive may create some tension with existing customers and involve increasing marketing efforts, it does provide some protection from inflation.
Another approach, at least for translators and
editors, is to switch to project-based pricing. As there are no “units” in this
form of proposal, the rate can be adjusted flexibly, taking into account
specific circumstances such as the individual customer, the state of the
relevant economy and translation markets and the actual supply and demand of
the freelancer at the time. As there is no need to justify increases to the customer,
they are much easier to attain in real time. Of course, it requires educating
customers that you do not have any per-word or per-hour rates but, in my
experience, they not only get used to it but find project proposals much
simpler. While many customers, including large agencies, may not prefer this
approach, end clients find it much easier to understand and budget for.
Furthermore, it does allow for immediate adjustment of prices. Project-based
pricing requires changing the nature of the customer-freelancer relationship
but provides the most effective protection from inflation in my opinion.
If inflation does begin to significantly
affect buying power, freelancers should actively consider their strategy to
cope with it. Each approach suggested above has its advantages and risks.
However, clearly the problem of rising prices and raising rates poses a dilemma
to self-employed but the power to act is our hands.
* Captions help the blind access the Internet.
Picture: Image by <a href="https://pixabay.com/users/stevepb-282134/?utm_source=link-attribution&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=image&utm_content=1580168">Steve Buissinne</a> from <a href="https://pixabay.com/?utm_source=link-attribution&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=image&utm_content=1580168">Pixabay</a>
Thanks - interesting reading and good ideas.
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